- My expertise on cows and farmers’ markets is called into question…
- … Nonetheless, my comments last week helped reader
- KiwiSaver becoming workable for people with special needs
- Change KiwiSaver provider any time, but take care with changing funds
- Who does government borrow from, and how?
- Are we likely to see negative interest rates, and if so, where should we save?
- Not good news on tax and negative interest rates
- Negative interest rates unlikely to threaten banks’ strength
QIn your last column you suggest an older couple who down-sized from Auckland to a smaller town could consider getting a cow for milk and cheese.
You’re a financial expert, not an agricultural one. A third of an acre is not enough to support a cow, and owning one entails ongoing expenses — artificial insemination, hay, fencing, shelter, yards and possible vet fees, plus the animal is a daily tie to the property during milking season.
The couple are better to spend the $1,000-plus cow money on their weekly bottle of milk and block of cheese. Their $350,000 plus $80,000 plus NZ Superannuation is sufficient to last them to the end of their days.
Selling excess vegetables at a farmers’ market and ensuring an ongoing supply is a lot of hard work. I know, I sold vegetable and herb seedlings and a large range of perennials at weekend markets in the Bay of Plenty for 25 years.
The biggest problem aside from the weather and very long hours is competing with other sellers who don’t declare their income to the IRD and undercut your prices to an unrealistic level.
AYou’re pouring cold water all over my bucolic painting, and it’s running everywhere. But you’re absolutely right — my expertise doesn’t lie in cows! Still, I also suggested chooks, which you haven’t counted out.
Sad to hear how hard the farmers’ market thing is, and that there’s unfair competition. It can’t have been totally terrible though, or presumably you wouldn’t have kept on doing it for all that time.
On whether the couple’s savings are enough for them, that depends so much on their retirement spending plans. Read on.
P.S. A friend comments: “For what it’s worth, in my distant childhood, I recall a woman who kept a cow on a quarter-acre section, but perhaps cows had simpler needs in those times.”
QFirst, thank you so much for your extensive reply last week to my letter about moving out of Auckland — I certainly didn’t expect the level of detail that you provided.
My wife and sons would certainly agree with your ‘bleakest’ comment — there’s Dad going on a rave again!
I found all of your points helpful and worth further thought, and feel like I owe you a reply to all of them. So here goes:
- Cheap rental property. Had already ruled this out — too much worry.
- Veggie garden and farmers market. Yes, good — perhaps try to add some value to the produce. Cow might be a step too far for us.
- Solar energy and self-sufficiency. Worth investigating, but like you say, could be a challenge. Have already done a little reading around these topics.
- Massey guidelines. Thanks for the link — extremely helpful — have already compared our expenses over the last 12 months against the scenarios. We are currently slightly more than ‘rural, no frills’ expenses so should have no trouble getting back to this level. So much for my doctor’s comment, “You need a million dollars to retire”.
- Transport. Bicycles, do-able, as we are both in reasonable health. E-bikes a possibility if I get a technical understanding of how they work.
- Needing cash. Yes, I admit some of this will be required, and we definitely won’t be storing it under the mattress.
- Collectibles or tradeables. Would not be tempted into art works, but how about toilet paper, flour, pasta, and cleaning products?
- Financial assets and bank strength. You are right, we are not interested in shares or bonds. We will continue with some term deposits with our bank, Kiwibank.
Since writing to you we have solved some of our problem already by putting a little aside for our three sons, to help reduce their current mortgages to a level where they can continue to service them, should they or their partners lose their jobs.
Some of the remainder we would put aside for education costs for acquiring practical skills, and for some comfort-based renovations to our ‘trade-down’ property, which is a very well maintained 1952 dwelling with a large vege garden and a wide variety of fruit and nut trees.
Once again, thanks so much for your advice.
AA pleasure. Your letter was a good challenge.
Your doctor’s comment is repeated quite often — that you need $1 million for retirement. Some of the people who make a living from retirement savings or advice encourage that thinking. I wonder why! It’s discouraging and ridiculous.
In retirement, some people are content living off NZ Super only, and plenty are happy with that plus $100,000 or $200,000 or so. Of course it helps to have a mortgage-free home, and so much depends on your lifestyle.
I’m glad you found the Massey retirement spending guidelines helpful. For readers who missed last week’s link, go here, and see Appendix 1.
On toilet paper, flour, pasta, and cleaning products, I think you’ve missed your chance — although there never really was one!
QMy daughter, who is 12, has special needs and receives a disability allowance from the government every fortnight.
I was thinking of putting this into her KiwiSaver account, however it is unlikely she will live to be 65. Is there any provision for special needs people to access their KiwiSaver earlier, or is it better for us to look into alternative savings program?
AThere’s probably some good news for you and your girl — and not before time.
It has always seemed unfair that KiwiSaver doesn’t work for people with short life expectancies. They’ve got enough else to contend with.
But now there are changes, assuming your daughter’s condition is congenital — meaning it has existed from birth.
“Recent changes to the KiwiSaver rules mean that KiwiSaver members with life-shortening congenital conditions will be able to access balances before the age of eligibility for New Zealand superannuation (currently 65),” says Rachel Taylor, a partner in law firm DLA Piper who specialises in this area.
Some of these conditions will be listed in regulations, but they haven’t yet been finalised, she says.
In the meantime — or if your daughter’s condition is not included in the list — she will still be able to make withdrawals if she has medical evidence that her condition is expected to reduce her life expectancy below the usual withdrawal age.
Taylor adds that once your daughter starts withdrawing KiwiSaver money, she will no longer be eligible for government contributions or compulsory employer contributions — although, of course, an employer could keep contributing. It will be as if she’s retired at that stage.
So sign up your daughter. She won’t get government contributions until she’s 18, but KiwiSaver is still a good place for long-term savings.
Next we need to see action for KiwiSaver members who have other life-shortening conditions that are not congenital.
This issue has come up in this column several times over the years. It’s great to see progress, but let’s finish it.
QI have just read your excellent book and have done research to change my KiwiSaver provider to get a better deal on fees. Given the current times, is it wise to change providers now?
I am currently in a “moderate” fund and am not sure whether to transfer into a balanced or conservative fund with the new provider, again because of the times.
AAny time is good to change to a provider with lower fees, regardless of what the markets are doing. Just ask the new provider to switch you.
Changing fund types is a bit trickier. Your current moderate fund is probably the same type as the new balanced fund. Find out using “Check your current fund” in the KiwiSaver Fund Finder on sorted.org.nz. Transferring to a fund of the same type is fine.
But if you want to move to a lower-risk conservative fund, I suggest you start out with a third or a quarter of your money in that fund and the rest in the balanced fund. Then move the remainder, portion by portion, over a few months. That prevents you from transferring it all at what turns out to be a bad time.
QI have been reading a lot about the government borrowing to help us all get through this pandemic.
Where does the government borrow this money from, and how are the interest rates and payment terms determined?
The government certainly is planning to borrow in a big way — about $60 billion. That’s three times what it borrowed in 2011 after the global financial crisis — the previous largest amount in a single financial year.
The idea is to fund government spending that will get the economy moving again.
Where does the money come from? Almost all of it comes from the Government issuing bonds, which are rather like bank term deposits. The investor lends the Government money and receives interest payments twice a year. At the end of the term, they get their money back.
Currently bonds have maturity dates from 2021 to 2037, says Kim Martin, acting director capital markets at the Treasury.
The bonds are issued every Thursday, with eight institutions, mostly banks, bidding for them. Bidding starts at $1 million.
These institutions then sell the bonds in smaller parcels. Some are bought by KiwiSaver funds or other managed funds. Some are bought by insurance companies, pension funds and other huge investors. And some are bought by individuals, through banks, sharebrokers and the like.
About half the buyers are overseas, and half New Zealand institutions and individuals.
Government bonds are very low-risk investments, because the Government has never defaulted — failed to pay interest and pay back the principal.
As you would expect with such a safe investment, interest rates tend to be lower than on bank term deposits — which these days means pretty low.
How are the interest rates set? “When the Government bonds are issued they have an associated ‘coupon’ rate,” says Martin.
This rate is “based on prevailing market interest rates, at the time of the issuance. In turn, market interest rates are influenced by factors such as the level of the Reserve Bank’s official cash rate and the level of bond rates in other countries,” she says.
“Once the coupon has been set in this way, the bonds are issued and can then be ‘traded’ in the secondary market. The price at which these are then bought i.e. the price the investor is willing to pay for the bond with the associated coupon rate, determines the overall interest rate that they will receive over the life of the bond.”
In other words, if you pay more for a bond than its issue price, the interest you receive will be a bit lower than the coupon rate. You’ve watered down the interest by spreading it over a larger initial investment. And if you pay less than the issue price, your interest will be a bit higher than the coupon rate.
You also asked about “payment terms.” If you mean terms and conditions, these are set out in a product disclosure statement that you can read online.
If you mean how long the investment runs, “The maturities are set by the New Zealand Debt Management team at the Treasury, to cater to investor demand and to allow a good spread of maturities, so they are not all ‘due’ at the same time,” says Martin.
She adds, “New Zealand government bonds are highly rated by credit rating agencies. They are amongst some of the top-rated sovereign bonds globally.
“This helps the Government to be able to borrow at lower interest rates than would otherwise be the case. Investors feel confident that the issuer is credit-worthy and they will get their money back when the bond matures.”
QJust before the lockdown I heard of several overseas banks going into negative interest rates on what I imagine were deposit savings accounts. This sounds like people having to pay banks to hold savings.
Given there is currently very little interest on most savings accounts, and possibly more money being sloshed around to stimulate the economy, it seems we are at risk of this happening. Or perhaps we only end up with 0 per cent interest. Either way the value of a “safe” and accessible deposit gets eaten away because of inflation.
I treat my savings account as an emergency stash, money when I need it. There might be delays getting money out of even a cash fund, let alone a term investment.
If it happens here, are there practical alternatives to savings accounts that hold their value? Cash under the mattress?
ALet’s take this one step at a time. Firstly, are we likely to see this upside-down world — with people paying banks to hold their money, and banks paying people with mortgages?
“We are not planning to introduce a negative OCR rate before March next year at the earliest and only if required,” says a spokesperson for the Reserve Bank.
What’s more, the OCR, or official cash rate, is usually a fair bit lower than the rates banks pay customers. Right now it’s 0.25 per cent. Compare that with the term deposit rates on interest.co.nz.
Continues the spokesperson, “That will be a decision for the Monetary Policy Committee based on an economic assessment and the level of stimulus needed to achieve our mandate of low and stable inflation and support the maximum rate of employment.
“We would evaluate the use of a negative OCR against our principles and other options available.”
He adds: “Negative rates refers to wholesale rates, and the retail rate will be a margin above that. International evidence shows that is a rare to see negative retail rates.” Retail rates are the ones paid to or charged to individual customers.
This view is echoed by banks. ANZ chief executive Antonia Watson recently told Tamsyn Parker in the Herald, “If you look around the world there are many jurisdictions that have gone to negative interest rates, and it’s very few and far between where you have seen an actual retail interest rate go negative — either us paying people to borrow money from us or people paying to put their money in the bank.
“You see that in the big end of town in the wholesale and the swap transactions, but it’s been very rare to see it at the retail end.”
She adds, “A situation where a retail depositor is paying to put their money in the bank seems a long way away.”
Okay, but if we do go to negative retail rates, what are alternatives to savings accounts for emergency money?
Despite your reservations, cash funds and one-month term deposits are good options when you need money in a hurry. If you make your purchase with a credit card, by the time you have to pay the credit card bill, you will have gained access to your cash fund or deposit.
And cash funds, in particular, may pay a slightly higher return than savings accounts. Cash fund managers search for the best very low-risk investments.
On the mattress idea, I’ve mentioned before the threats of fire, flood, theft and hungry rats. If you’re thinking along those lines, please get a decent safe.
QThe Reserve Bank recently asked trading banks to prepare internal processes in the event that negative interest rates became a reality.
It seems that negative interest rates are now more than a possibility, so many will want to know how such negative rates will be treated for tax purposes. Do you know IRD’s position on this?
AI didn’t, so I asked Inland Revenue the following: “If a New Zealand bank was charging negative interest on a term deposit, presumably taking the interest out of the deposited amount, would that interest “charge” be tax deductible — given that interest received is taxable?”
The reply is not good news for most people.
“This issue is a relatively novel one that revenue authorities around the world are beginning to consider,” says a spokesperson.
“On general principles in New Zealand it is expected that interest charged on term deposits based on negative interest rates will not be tax deductible, except where a term deposit is held by a business.
“That’s because for the expenditure to qualify for a deduction it must be connected to income or a business.”
Seems unfair to me, but I suppose we have to blame New Zealand law.
The spokesperson elaborates: “Term deposits charging negative interest rates will not pass the income nexus test because there can be no expectation of income from holding investments made on those terms.
“The business nexus test would likely be satisfied where it’s a term deposit investment of a business. This is the same tax treatment that would apply to related expenditure such as bank fees.” Good point.
She adds, “Special rules apply to companies which are generally allowed a deduction for interest even where there is no income or business connection.”
QIt is probably timely to seek a “lay-person’s” explanation from someone of your calibre regarding negative interest rates. So here are a couple of questions:
- If someone has $100,000 on term deposit with a bank and it is to be renewed at say, minus 0.50 per cent, does this mean the depositor will pay $500 to the bank, but not resident withholding tax because credit interest was not received?
- Could negative interest rates result in many depositors withdrawing their funds and lodging them in say, riskier “second-tier” funds (finance companies with C minus ratings), shares or even buying a rental investment property partly funded by maybe a mortgage at less than 2 per cent?
- Could this lead to a run on bank funds through lack of confidence in the banking system to offer some “rate of return?”
Your thoughts would be appreciated.
AOn your first question, I expect the bank would just take the negative interest out of your deposit, in the same way as fees and tax are taken out of many investments.
But while you couldn’t deduct the interest you paid, as explained above, you certainly wouldn’t have to pay tax on it. That would be preposterous!
Turning to your other two questions, if we do get negative retail rates, I suppose some people will withdraw their bank savings and invest elsewhere. But I doubt if enough people will do that to threaten banks’ stability.
Consider people’s options. Hopefully the collapse of many finance companies during and after the global financial crisis, a decade or so ago, will be fresh enough in memories that most people won’t go there — at least to the riskier ones.
Shares and rental property are possibilities, but they are considerably riskier than bank deposits. Bonds and bond funds tend to be less risky, but they can still be volatile.
And all of these are likely to be less attractive than usual in the next year or two, given our worrying economic situation.
My guess is that many people will complain about very low — or possibly negative — interest rates, but they will still save with their banks. After all, they’re already used to really low interest.
No paywalls or ads — just generous people like you. All Kiwis deserve accurate, unbiased financial guidance. So let’s keep it free. Can you help? Every bit makes a difference.
Mary Holm, ONZM, is a freelance journalist, a seminar presenter and a bestselling author on personal finance. She is a director of Financial Services Complaints Ltd (FSCL) and a former director of the Financial Markets Authority. Her opinions are personal, and do not reflect the position of any organisation in which she holds office. Mary’s advice is of a general nature, and she is not responsible for any loss that any reader may suffer from following it.Send questions to [email protected] or click here. Letters should not exceed 200 words. We won’t publish your name. Please provide a (preferably daytime) phone number. Unfortunately, Mary cannot answer all questions, correspond directly with readers, or give financial advice.